Are standby queue posted wait-times exaggerated?
I've noticed from watching Rob and Erick's videos that their actual wait-times in standby queues are usually much less than the posted wait-times. Are the posted wait-times usually exaggerated? If so, why?
Here are some possible explanations that come to mind:
1. There is an inherent delay in updating the posted wait-times, and Rob and Erick tend to choose attractions where the wait-times are decreasing therefore the actual wait-time has decreased since it was posted. But if this were the case, you would experience longer than posted wait-times when the standby queue is increasing, and I haven't seen many instances of this in any of the videos.
2. Disney intentionally errs on the side of over-estimating wait-times since they know it is a better guest experience when the wait-time is less than anticipated. 3. Disney wants it to appear that wait-times are longer to make Lightning Lanes look more valuable. (but maybe this is too cynical?) Am I right that the wait-times are usually less than what is posted? Any thoughts on the reasoning?
I would think they only manipulate wait times at park closing and on very busy days.